ATLAS fair value
ZAR 49.28
Above fair value · 75% premium
OUTSURANCE share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 49.28
Above fair value · 75% premium
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates OUTSURANCE's fair value at about ZAR 49.28 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 44.35 to ZAR 54.20). At ZAR 86.34, the stock trades 75% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives OUTSURANCE a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 82.69 and ZAR 90.67; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 76.21 and ZAR 98.38. Estimated annual volatility is 28%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. OUTSURANCE sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks OUT.JSE has traded between ZAR 65.86 and ZAR 90.12. Today it is 4.2% below that high and 31% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 13.0%; it trades at 23.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.37: it tends to move less than the market.
OUTsurance Group Limited, a financial services company, provides insurance and investment products in South Africa, Australia, and Ireland.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 49.28 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 44.35 to ZAR 54.20). With the stock at ZAR 86.34, it is 75% above it.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, OUT.JSE ends the month between ZAR 82.69 and ZAR 90.67.
OUTSURANCE's market capitalization is ZAR 132B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 23.2: you pay ZAR 23.2 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. OUT.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.03% at today's price (ZAR 86.34).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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