ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 433.85
Below fair value · 48% discount
Range: ZAR 390–ZAR 477Fair valuePrice
Absa (ABG.JSE)
Absa share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 225.41▲ +1.15%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Absa in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Absa
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Absa's fair value at about ZAR 433.85 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 390.46 to ZAR 477.23). At ZAR 225.41, the stock trades 48% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Absa a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 218.10 and ZAR 234.80; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 204.29 and ZAR 250.67. Estimated annual volatility is 20%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 179B
- Market cap (USD)
- $10.8B
- P/E ratio
- 7.8
- Dividend yield
- 0.08%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 278.12
- 52-week low
- ZAR 190.97
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 105B
- Gross margin
- 99.7%
- Operating margin
- 36.9%
- Net margin
- 22.5%
- Beta
- 0.35
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Absa sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ABG.JSE has traded between ZAR 190.97 and ZAR 278.12. Today it is 19.0% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 22.5%; it trades at 7.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.35: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Absa Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides retail, business, corporate, investment banking, insurance, financial, and wealth management products and services in South Africa and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Absa (ABG.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 433.85 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 390.46 to ZAR 477.23). With the stock at ZAR 225.41, it is 48% below it.
What is the chance ABG.JSE goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ABG.JSE ends the month between ZAR 218.10 and ZAR 234.80.
How big is Absa and what is its P/E ratio?
Absa's market capitalization is ZAR 179B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.8: you pay ZAR 7.81 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Absa pay a dividend?
Yes. ABG.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.08% at today's price (ZAR 225.41).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer