ATLAS fair value
ZAR 76.37
Below fair value · 49% discount
Momentum Metropolitan share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 76.37
Below fair value · 49% discount
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Momentum Metropolitan's fair value at about ZAR 76.37 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 68.74 to ZAR 84.01). At ZAR 38.80, the stock trades 49% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Momentum Metropolitan a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 37.38 and ZAR 40.56; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 34.77 and ZAR 43.60. Estimated annual volatility is 24%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Momentum Metropolitan sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MTM.JSE has traded between ZAR 32.88 and ZAR 42.90. Today it is 9.6% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 10.4%; it trades at 7.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.24: it tends to move less than the market.
Momentum Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and financial services in South Africa and internationally.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 76.37 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 68.74 to ZAR 84.01). With the stock at ZAR 38.80, it is 49% below it.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MTM.JSE ends the month between ZAR 37.38 and ZAR 40.56.
Momentum Metropolitan's market capitalization is ZAR 49.5B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.6: you pay ZAR 7.58 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. MTM.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.06% at today's price (ZAR 38.80).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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