ATLAS fair value
ZAR 984.24
Below fair value · 31% discount
Naspers share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 984.24
Below fair value · 31% discount
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Naspers's fair value at about ZAR 984.24 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 749.51 to ZAR 1,316). At ZAR 677.23, the stock trades 31% below it.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Naspers a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 640.47 and ZAR 717.91; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 578.83 and ZAR 794.35. Estimated annual volatility is 33%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Naspers sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks NPN.JSE has traded between ZAR 650.56 and ZAR 1,296. Today it is 47.7% below that high and 4% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 45.8%; it trades at 6.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.67: it tends to move less than the market.
Naspers Limited operates as a consumer internet company in Africa, Asia, Europe, and internationally.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 984.24 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 749.51 to ZAR 1,316). With the stock at ZAR 677.23, it is 31% below it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, NPN.JSE ends the month between ZAR 640.47 and ZAR 717.91.
Naspers's market capitalization is ZAR 536B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 6.8: you pay ZAR 6.78 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 33%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between ZAR 640.47 and ZAR 717.91.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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