ATLAS fair value
ZAR 357.95
Below fair value · 52% discount
Mr Price share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 357.95
Below fair value · 52% discount
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Mr Price's fair value at about ZAR 357.95 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 337.11 to ZAR 545.35). At ZAR 172.20, the stock trades 52% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Mr Price a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 164.52 and ZAR 181.17; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 151.04 and ZAR 197.33. Estimated annual volatility is 27%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Mr Price sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MRP.JSE has traded between ZAR 146.28 and ZAR 223.03. Today it is 22.8% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 8.8%; it trades at 12.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.45: it tends to move less than the market.
Mr Price Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides fashion-value merchandise in South Africa and internationally. It operates through five segments: Apparel, Homeware, Financial Services, Telecoms, and Central Services.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 357.95 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 337.11 to ZAR 545.35). With the stock at ZAR 172.20, it is 52% below it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MRP.JSE ends the month between ZAR 164.52 and ZAR 181.17.
Mr Price's market capitalization is ZAR 44.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.2: you pay ZAR 12.2 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. MRP.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.05% at today's price (ZAR 172.20).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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