ATLAS fair value
ZAR 591.41
Close to fair value · 0% discount
Gold Fields share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 591.41
Close to fair value · 0% discount
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Gold Fields's fair value at about ZAR 591.41 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 451.49 to ZAR 774.69). At ZAR 591.13, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Gold Fields a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 540.30 and ZAR 641.04; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 464.33 and ZAR 745.93. Estimated annual volatility is 49%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Gold Fields sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks GFI.JSE has traded between ZAR 512.75 and ZAR 991.48. Today it is 40.4% below that high and 15% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 38.7%; it trades at 7.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.64: it tends to move less than the market.
Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 591.41 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 451.49 to ZAR 774.69). With the stock at ZAR 591.13, it is close to that value.
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, GFI.JSE ends the month between ZAR 540.30 and ZAR 641.04.
Gold Fields's market capitalization is ZAR 544B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.6: you pay ZAR 7.60 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 49%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between ZAR 540.30 and ZAR 641.04.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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