ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 500.09
Below fair value · 43% discount
Range: ZAR 345–ZAR 724Fair valuePrice
Sasol (SOL.JSE)
Sasol share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 287.30▼ -0.93%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Sasol in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Sasol
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Sasol's fair value at about ZAR 500.09 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 345.23 to ZAR 724.42). At ZAR 287.30, the stock trades 43% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Sasol a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 263.81 and ZAR 310.67; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 228.21 and ZAR 359.13. Estimated annual volatility is 45%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 169B
- Market cap (USD)
- $10.2B
- P/E ratio
- 14.3
- 52-week high
- ZAR 300.56
- 52-week low
- ZAR 94.24
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 272B
- Gross margin
- 43.8%
- Operating margin
- 23.1%
- Net margin
- 4.5%
- Beta
- -0.26
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Sasol sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks SOL.JSE has traded between ZAR 94.24 and ZAR 300.56. Today it is 4.4% below that high and 205% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 4.5%; it trades at 14.3 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.26: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Sasol Limited operates as a chemical and energy company in South Africa, Mozambique, the United States, Europe, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Sasol (SOL.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 500.09 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 345.23 to ZAR 724.42). With the stock at ZAR 287.30, it is 43% below it.
What is the chance SOL.JSE goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, SOL.JSE ends the month between ZAR 263.81 and ZAR 310.67.
How big is Sasol and what is its P/E ratio?
Sasol's market capitalization is ZAR 169B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 14.3: you pay ZAR 14.3 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is SOL.JSE?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 45%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between ZAR 263.81 and ZAR 310.67.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer