ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 42.83
Close to fair value · 5% discount
Range: ZAR 32–ZAR 46Fair valuePrice
DRDGOLD (DRD.JSE)
DRDGOLD share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 40.70▲ +1.80%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on DRDGOLD in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On DRDGOLD
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates DRDGOLD's fair value at about ZAR 42.83 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 31.74 to ZAR 45.99). At ZAR 40.70, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives DRDGOLD a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 37.54 and ZAR 43.89; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 32.68 and ZAR 50.41. Estimated annual volatility is 44%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 37.1B
- Market cap (USD)
- $2.2B
- P/E ratio
- 8.8
- Dividend yield
- 0.42%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 65.00
- 52-week low
- ZAR 32.32
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 11.2B
- Gross margin
- 53.5%
- Operating margin
- 54.9%
- Net margin
- 38.1%
- Beta
- 0.48
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. DRDGOLD sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks DRD.JSE has traded between ZAR 32.32 and ZAR 65.00. Today it is 37.4% below that high and 26% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 38.1%; it trades at 8.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.48: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
DRDGOLD Limited, a gold mining company, engages in the extraction of gold from the retreatment of surface mine tailings in South Africa. The company was formerly known as Durban Roodepoort Deep Limited and changed its name to DRDGOLD Limited in 2004.
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Comparable companies
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Frequently asked questions
What is DRDGOLD (DRD.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 42.83 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 31.74 to ZAR 45.99). With the stock at ZAR 40.70, it is close to that value.
What is the chance DRD.JSE goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, DRD.JSE ends the month between ZAR 37.54 and ZAR 43.89.
How big is DRDGOLD and what is its P/E ratio?
DRDGOLD's market capitalization is ZAR 37.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.8: you pay ZAR 8.76 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does DRDGOLD pay a dividend?
Yes. DRD.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.42% at today's price (ZAR 40.70).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer