ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 418.77
Below fair value · 47% discount
Range: ZAR 310–ZAR 565Fair valuePrice
Kumba Iron Ore (KIO.JSE)
Kumba Iron Ore share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Steel · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 223.61▲ +2.01%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Kumba Iron Ore in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Kumba Iron Ore
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Kumba Iron Ore's fair value at about ZAR 418.77 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 310.43 to ZAR 564.93). At ZAR 223.61, the stock trades 47% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Kumba Iron Ore a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 212.37 and ZAR 236.31; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 193.19 and ZAR 259.77. Estimated annual volatility is 29%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 73.4B
- Market cap (USD)
- $4.4B
- P/E ratio
- 6.2
- Dividend yield
- 0.11%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 395.31
- 52-week low
- ZAR 214.14
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 66.4B
- Gross margin
- 85.4%
- Operating margin
- 25.1%
- Net margin
- 17.5%
- Beta
- 0.91
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Kumba Iron Ore sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks KIO.JSE has traded between ZAR 214.14 and ZAR 395.31. Today it is 43.4% below that high and 4% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 17.5%; it trades at 6.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.91: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Kumba Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, beneficiation, marketing, sale, and shipping of iron ore for the steel industry in South Africa.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Kumba Iron Ore (KIO.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 418.77 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 310.43 to ZAR 564.93). With the stock at ZAR 223.61, it is 47% below it.
What is the chance KIO.JSE goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, KIO.JSE ends the month between ZAR 212.37 and ZAR 236.31.
How big is Kumba Iron Ore and what is its P/E ratio?
Kumba Iron Ore's market capitalization is ZAR 73.4B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 6.2: you pay ZAR 6.22 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Kumba Iron Ore pay a dividend?
Yes. KIO.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.11% at today's price (ZAR 223.61).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer