Stock analysis
How likely is a stock to go up?
Pick a US stock and how far ahead you want to look. ATLAS simulates 10,000 possible futures and answers in plain numbers: the chance it rises, the chance it falls, and how bad it could get.
Apple Inc.
Next 30 days · 10,000 simulated futures
$326.64last close
- Chance it goes up
- 48%
- Chance it goes down
- 52%
Where the price lands 9 times out of 10
- Bad case (1 in 20)
- −11.3%
- Good case (1 in 20)
- +12.1%
How to read it
Four numbers. Nothing else.
Using the Apple example above.
Out of 10,000 simulated futures, 48 in every 100 end above today’s price after 30 days.
The other 52 end below. Here it is close to a coin flip: no strong signal either way.
9 times out of 10 the price ends somewhere in this range. The wider it is, the riskier the stock.
Only 1 future in 20 ends worse than this. It tells you how much you could lose in a bad month.
How it works
Three steps, done for you.
- 01
Choose
A US stock or ETF, and a time frame from 1 day up to 1 year.
- 02
Simulate
ATLAS plays out 10,000 possible paths for the price, using how much that stock really moves. It recalibrates every night after the market closes.
- 03
Count
It counts how many paths end up, how many end down, and where most of them land. That is the answer.
Does it work?
We check every forecast.
Since 1 October 2026 every forecast is saved before the market opens and later compared with the real price. Earlier months were rebuilt day by day using only the data available the evening before. When ATLAS says “8 in 10”, it should happen about 8 in 10 times.
- ATLAS said 5 in 10
- 58.0% how often it happened
- ATLAS said 8 in 10
- 83.2% how often it happened
- ATLAS said 9 in 10
- 90.4% how often it happened
903,345 forecasts on 5,043 US stocks, January to October 2026. How we keep score →
Where to use it
Learn it in class. Use it at work.
What ATLAS does