Portfolio Tracking

After you buy, ATLAS doesn't stop.

Add the stocks you own. ATLAS re-simulates them every night and sends you one email at 9:00 AM ET — what to hold, what to trim, what to consider selling.

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ATLAS <info@atlas-stocks.com>

9:02 AM

Your portfolio brief — Tuesday, April 22, 2026

PRE-MARKET CONTEXT

SPX−0.4%VIX17.210Y4.32

NVDA — NVIDIA Corp

Live $875 · Entry $682 · P&L +28.3%

TRIM

PROBABILITY SIMULATIONS · 10,000 MONTE CARLO PATHS

Timeframe	P(+5%)	P(−5%)	Expected
7d	42%	28%	+1.4%
21d	58%	32%	+4.2%
60d	74%	24%	+11.8%

PROFIT-TAKING SIGNAL

Up +28.3%. Probability of correction to entry: 41% in 7d / 58% in 21d. Suggested: trim 33%.

TSLA — Tesla Inc

Live $245 · Entry $282 · P&L −13.1%

HOLD

PROBABILITY SIMULATIONS · 10,000 MONTE CARLO PATHS

Timeframe	P(+5%)	P(−5%)	Expected
7d	38%	32%	+0.8%
21d	54%	28%	+3.6%
60d	71%	22%	+9.4%

RECOVERY PROBABILITY TO BREAK-EVEN

7d38%

21d54%

60d71%

The question

Now that you own them, what next?

ATLAS TELLS YOU.

How it works

Four steps. One email.

01 · 1 / 4

Add

Your positions

Symbol	Shares	Avg cost	Lev
NVDANVIDIA Corp	24	$682	1×
TSLATesla Inc	12	$282	1×
MSFTMicrosoft	8	$385	1×
GOOGLAlphabet Class A	15	$142	2×

MANUAL ENTRY · MULTI-TXN AVERAGED · LEVERAGE 1×–5×

Tell ATLAS what you own.

Add positions one at a time: ticker, shares, average cost, optional leverage (1×–5×). Multiple buys of the same stock get averaged automatically.

Edit anytime. Wrong price? Fix it. Add shares later? One click. ATLAS computes the weighted average and tracks each transaction.

Yes
Manual entry: 1×–5×
Leverage support: Tracked
Edit history

Your positions, your data, your control.

02 · 2 / 4

Re-simulate

Every night

EVERY POSITION · 10,000 PATHS · 3 HORIZONS

7 DAYS21 DAYS60 DAYS

FRESH DATA · NIGHTLY · NO EXCEPTIONS

Every night, every position, three horizons.

After market close, ATLAS runs the full Monte Carlo against every position — 10,000 paths each, three horizons: 7d, 21d, 60d.

Fresh inputs: today's close, latest news, latest macro. Volatility spiked → new sigma. Earnings overnight → new drift. Yesterday's brief expired.

10,000
Paths per stock: 7/21/60d
Horizons: Nightly
Re-runs

Yesterday's probabilities expire when today's market closes.

03 · 3 / 4

Decide

Hold / Sell / Trim / Add

FOUR POSSIBLE ACTIONS · ONE PER POSITION

HOLDDefaultNo material change

TRIM+15%↑Take ~33% off

SELLMath saysProbability shifted

ADDBetter oddsSetup improved

MATH + QUALITATIVE REVIEW · NO FENCE-SITTING

Every position gets a single action.

Math (probability skew) + qualitative review (catalysts, risks, news, macro) → one badge: HOLD, SELL, TRIM, or ADD. One word. No fence-sitting.

TRIM is conservative — fires only when you're up 15%+ AND probability of pullback to entry within 7 days exceeds 30%. Lock in gains; trim a third.

4
Possible actions: +15%
Trim threshold: ~33%
Trim size

A clear answer beats five ambiguous data points.

04 · 4 / 4

Deliver

9:00 AM ET, your inbox

8:00 AMCoffee
9:00 AMYour email
9:30 AMNYSE open
4:00 PMMarket close

ONE EMAIL · 30 MINUTES BEFORE THE BELL
DAILY · WEEKLY · MONTHLY · YOUR CHOICE

One email, before the bell.

Mon–Fri at 9:00 AM ET — 30 min before NYSE opens. Macro context, every position with three-horizon probabilities, action badge, news from tier-1 sources only.

Switch to weekly (Mondays) or monthly (first Monday) if daily is too much. Cadence changes; structure stays.

9:00 AM ET
Time: Mon–Fri
Days: D / W / M
Cadences

One email replaces fifty alerts.

What's in the email

Probabilities, recovery, profit signals.

1 / 3

The probability table

7d / 21d / 60d × hit / loss / expected

NVDA	P(+5%)	P(−5%)
7 days	42%	28%
21 days	58%	32%
60 days	74%	24%

NINE NUMBERS · ONE GLANCE · TEN SECONDS

Three horizons. Three columns. One glance.

Every position gets a 3×3 table. Rows: 7d, 21d, 60d. Columns: P(+5%), P(−5%), expected return. Nine numbers — the entire simulation distilled.

Same stock can have very different odds at different windows. High-vol might be 35%/30% at 7d but 65%/22% at 60d — upside compounds faster than downside in some setups.

9
Numbers per stock: 4–5 sent.
Plain-English: Same engine
Source

A grid this clean takes about ten seconds to read.

2 / 3

Recovery + substitutes

Only when a position is down

TSLA DOWN 13.1% · RECOVERY MAP

7 days38%

21 days54%

60 days71%

+ 3 SECTOR SUBSTITUTES WITH STRONGER 21-DAY PROBABILITY

When you're losing, ATLAS gets specific.

Position in the red? The email adds a recovery block: probability of getting back to entry in 7d, 21d, 60d. Accounts for drift, volatility, and your specific drawdown.

Down more than 5%? ATLAS surfaces substitutes: large-caps (>$20B) in the same sector with stronger 21-day probability and better expected return.

P&L < 0
Trigger: P&L < −5%
Substitute trigger: Large cap
Substitute filter

A losing position should not be a permanent prison.

3 / 3

Profit-taking signal

Only when you're up big

NVDA UP +28.3% · TRIM SIGNAL FIRED

Gain	+28.3%
Correction (7d)	41%
Suggested	Trim 33%

BOTH CONDITIONS REQUIRED · YOU DECIDE

Sometimes the right move is to take some off.

Up 15%+ AND probability of pullback to entry within 7 days exceeds 30%? ATLAS surfaces a profit-taking signal. Default: trim about a third. Lock gains, let the rest run.

Conservative by design. Not every winner gets TRIM — only when math says upside has compressed and downside has expanded.

> 15%
Gain trigger: > 30% / 7d
Correction trigger: ~33%
Suggested trim

Math beats ego when ego says "ride it forever".

Why one email

Better than push notifications.

1 / 2

One email beats fifty alerts

Signal over noise

NVDA up 2.3%
NVDA mentioned in news
NVDA hit your alert
NVDA volume spike
TSLA down 1.1%
AAPL upgrade
Market alert
Premarket movers
TSLA news

ATLAS · 1 EMAILEverything you need, nothing you don't

TYPICAL APP · 50 NOTIFICATIONS · vs · ATLAS · 1 EMAIL

Most apps interrupt. ATLAS aggregates.

Trading apps push notifications all day: NVDA up 2.3%. NVDA in news. NVDA hit your alert. Most are noise — designed to keep you tapping, not deciding.

ATLAS does the opposite. Once a day, before market opens, one email. Everything that mattered overnight, organized by position, ranked by what the math says.

1× per day
Frequency: Before bell
Timing: Zero
Push notif.

Less noise, better decisions.

2 / 2

Tier-1 sources only

No reddit, no clickbait

SOURCES THAT FEED YOUR BRIEF

ReutersWSJFinancial TimesBloombergCNBCAPMarketWatchBarron'sForbesSEC.govFortuneYahoo Finance

EXCLUDED

RedditRandom blogsAnonymous tipsters

QUALITY OVER VOLUME

News from places that get it right.

News comes from a fixed list: Reuters, Bloomberg, WSJ, Financial Times, CNBC, MarketWatch, Barron's, Forbes, AP, SEC.gov, and a handful of other established outlets.

Reddit, Twitter, anonymous blogs, low-effort aggregators — none make it in. If the only news is from non-tier-1, ATLAS shows zero rather than dilute the brief.

~19
Tier-1 outlets: Excluded
Reddit: Sector
Fallback

Information quality matters more than information volume.

Why trust this

Same engine. 97.2% calibrated.

The probabilities you see in your morning brief come from the same Monte Carlo engine that powers Simulations and Builder — checked against 900,000+ predictions scored on the real price.

97.2%

CALIBRATION ACCURACY

Predicted probabilities match real frequencies.

When ATLAS predicts 70%, the outcome happens close to 70% of the time. We have logged 1,000,000+ predictions on 5,000+ stocks and checked 900,000+ of them against what actually happened.

Calibration is the gold-standard metric for probabilistic models. Many forecasters get it wrong — saying '60%' when reality is 30% or 90%. ATLAS does not.

1,000,000+
Predictions logged: 5,000+
U.S. stocks covered

A probability is only useful if it means what it says.

See the full record →

What's next?

Arena

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