Recovery
Down on a stock? See the odds of getting back.
The odds you had when you bought no longer apply. ATLAS starts again from where you are today and tells you the chance of getting back to your buy price, and how long that usually takes.
Tesla Inc.
Bought at $282 · now $245
−13.1%your loss
Chance of getting back to $282 within…
| Time | Chance |
|---|---|
| 1 week | 38% |
| 1 month | 54% |
| 3 months | 71% |
Why it matters
The hardest decision is what to do after a loss.
Most people either sell in a panic or hold and hope. Both are guesses. A number makes it a decision.
Good odds of coming back
If the chance of recovering in your time frame is high, waiting may be reasonable.
Low odds of coming back
If the chance is low, the money may work better somewhere else.
A faster way back
ATLAS also shows which other stocks have better odds of making up the loss sooner.
How it works
Three steps.
- 01
Your position
The stock, the price you paid and how long you can wait.
- 02
Start from today
ATLAS simulates thousands of paths from today’s price, not from the day you bought.
- 03
The odds
How many of those paths get back to your price in time, and how long it takes on average.
Does it work?
We check every forecast.
Since 1 October 2026 every forecast is saved before the market opens and later compared with the real price. Earlier months were rebuilt day by day using only the data available the evening before. When ATLAS says “8 in 10”, it should happen about 8 in 10 times.
- ATLAS said 5 in 10
- 58.0% how often it happened
- ATLAS said 8 in 10
- 83.2% how often it happened
- ATLAS said 9 in 10
- 90.4% how often it happened
903,345 forecasts on 5,043 US stocks, January to October 2026. How we keep score →
Where to use it
Learn it in class. Use it at work.
What ATLAS does