ATLAS fair value
ZAR 197.84
Below fair value · 19% discount
Vodacom share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Communication Services · Telecom Services · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 197.84
Below fair value · 19% discount
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Vodacom's fair value at about ZAR 197.84 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 136.13 to ZAR 287.53). At ZAR 161.23, the stock trades 19% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Vodacom a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 156.45 and ZAR 167.56; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 147.21 and ZAR 178.06. Estimated annual volatility is 18%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Vodacom sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks VOD.JSE has traded between ZAR 129.23 and ZAR 164.97. Today it is 2.3% below that high and 25% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 12.3%; it trades at 15.1 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.35: it tends to move less than the market.
Vodacom Group Limited provides communications products and services in South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, and internationally. The company offers voice, messaging, converged services, broadband, data connectivity, mobile financial services, and other value-added services.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 197.84 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 136.13 to ZAR 287.53). With the stock at ZAR 161.23, it is 19% below it.
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, VOD.JSE ends the month between ZAR 156.45 and ZAR 167.56.
Vodacom's market capitalization is ZAR 307B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.1: you pay ZAR 15.1 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. VOD.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.05% at today's price (ZAR 161.23).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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