ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 33.38
Below fair value · 65% discount
Range: ZAR 25–ZAR 35Fair valuePrice
Caxton (CAT.JSE)
Caxton share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Communication Services · Publishing · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 11.61▲ +1.13%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Caxton in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Caxton
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Caxton's fair value at about ZAR 33.38 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 25.12 to ZAR 35.40). At ZAR 11.61, the stock trades 65% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Caxton a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 10.95 and ZAR 12.33; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 9.85 and ZAR 13.71. Estimated annual volatility is 36%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 4.2B
- Market cap (USD)
- $253M
- P/E ratio
- 7.2
- 52-week high
- ZAR 14.75
- 52-week low
- ZAR 11.08
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 6.7B
- Gross margin
- 28.1%
- Operating margin
- 8.9%
- Net margin
- 8.8%
- Beta
- 0.23
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Caxton sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks CAT.JSE has traded between ZAR 11.08 and ZAR 14.75. Today it is 21.3% below that high and 5% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 8.8%; it trades at 7.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.23: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Caxton and CTP Publishers and Printers Limited publishes and prints newspapers and magazines in South Africa. The company operates through Publishing, Printing and Distribution; and Packaging and Stationery segments.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Caxton (CAT.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 33.38 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 25.12 to ZAR 35.40). With the stock at ZAR 11.61, it is 65% below it.
What is the chance CAT.JSE goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, CAT.JSE ends the month between ZAR 10.95 and ZAR 12.33.
How big is Caxton and what is its P/E ratio?
Caxton's market capitalization is ZAR 4.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.2: you pay ZAR 7.18 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is CAT.JSE?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 36%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between ZAR 10.95 and ZAR 12.33.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer