ATLAS fair value
IDR 177.13
Above fair value · 86% premium
PT Merdeka Battery Materials stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Indonesia Stock Exchange · Indonesia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · IDR
IDR 177.13
Above fair value · 86% premium
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates PT Merdeka Battery Materials's fair value at about IDR 177.13 per share (reasonable range: IDR 99.48 to IDR 312.24). At IDR 330.00, the stock trades 86% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives PT Merdeka Battery Materials a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between IDR 291.70 and IDR 364.70; in 9 out of 10, between IDR 239.30 and IDR 444.56. Estimated annual volatility is 64%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. PT Merdeka Battery Materials sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MBMA.JK has traded between IDR 324.00 and IDR 945.00. Today it is 65.1% below that high and 2% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 4.2%; it trades at 28.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.59: it tends to move less than the market.
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. engages in the mining and processing of nickel, cobalt, and other mineral deposits in Indonesia and China. It operates through Mining, Manufacturing, and Others segments. The company manufactures non-ferrous basic metals; and collects hazardous waste.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About IDR 177.13 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: IDR 99.48 to IDR 312.24). With the stock at IDR 330.00, it is 86% above it.
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MBMA.JK ends the month between IDR 291.70 and IDR 364.70.
PT Merdeka Battery Materials's market capitalization is IDR 47.9T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 28.6: you pay IDR 28.6 for each IDR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 64%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between IDR 291.70 and IDR 364.70.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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