PT Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA.JK)

PT Merdeka Battery Materials stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Indonesia Stock Exchange · Indonesia

IDR 330.00▼ -6.78%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · IDR

ATLAS fair value

IDR 177.13

Above fair value · 86% premium

Chance of rising in 1 month

47%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

This is just the summary. See everything on PT Merdeka Battery Materials in ATLAS

ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.

  • Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
  • Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
  • Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On PT Merdeka Battery Materials

  • Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
  • Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
  • Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
  • Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
  • NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

  • ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
  • AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
  • Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
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  • Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
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Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS estimates PT Merdeka Battery Materials's fair value at about IDR 177.13 per share (reasonable range: IDR 99.48 to IDR 312.24). At IDR 330.00, the stock trades 86% above it.

It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.

ATLAS's model gives PT Merdeka Battery Materials a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between IDR 291.70 and IDR 364.70; in 9 out of 10, between IDR 239.30 and IDR 444.56. Estimated annual volatility is 64%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

PT Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA.JK) — Price, last 12 months (weekly close)Oct 24, 2025: IDR 585.00. Oct 27, 2026: IDR 330.00. ▼IDR 855.00IDR 330.00Oct 24, 2025Oct 27, 2026

Key numbers

Market cap
IDR 47.9T
Market cap (USD)
$2.7B
P/E ratio
28.6
52-week high
IDR 945.00
52-week low
IDR 324.00
Revenue (12 months)
$1.9B
Gross margin
21.1%
Operating margin
23.1%
Net margin
4.2%
Beta
0.59

What this means

These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. PT Merdeka Battery Materials sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.

Over the last 52 weeks MBMA.JK has traded between IDR 324.00 and IDR 945.00. Today it is 65.1% below that high and 2% above its low.

On the business: net margin is 4.2%; it trades at 28.6 times earnings.

Its beta is 0.59: it tends to move less than the market.

About the company

PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. engages in the mining and processing of nickel, cobalt, and other mineral deposits in Indonesia and China. It operates through Mining, Manufacturing, and Others segments. The company manufactures non-ferrous basic metals; and collects hazardous waste.

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Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What is PT Merdeka Battery Materials (MBMA.JK) fair value?

About IDR 177.13 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: IDR 99.48 to IDR 312.24). With the stock at IDR 330.00, it is 86% above it.

What is the chance MBMA.JK goes up next month?

47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MBMA.JK ends the month between IDR 291.70 and IDR 364.70.

How big is PT Merdeka Battery Materials and what is its P/E ratio?

PT Merdeka Battery Materials's market capitalization is IDR 47.9T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 28.6: you pay IDR 28.6 for each IDR 1.00 of yearly earnings.

How volatile is MBMA.JK?

ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 64%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between IDR 291.70 and IDR 364.70.

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer

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