ATLASATLAS fair value
IDR 5,144
Below fair value · 32% discount
Range: IDR 3,898–IDR 6,721Fair valuePrice
Vale Indonesia (INCO.JK)
Vale Indonesia stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Indonesia Stock Exchange · Indonesia
IDR 3,500▼ -5.91%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · IDR
Chance of rising in 1 month
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Vale Indonesia in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Vale Indonesia
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Vale Indonesia's fair value at about IDR 5,144 per share (reasonable range: IDR 3,898 to IDR 6,721). At IDR 3,500, the stock trades 32% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Vale Indonesia a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between IDR 3,174 and IDR 3,813; in 9 out of 10, between IDR 2,698 and IDR 4,487. Estimated annual volatility is 52%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- IDR 42.9T
- Market cap (USD)
- $2.4B
- P/E ratio
- 15.0
- 52-week high
- IDR 7,900
- 52-week low
- IDR 3,210
- Revenue (12 months)
- $1.1B
- Gross margin
- 21.1%
- Operating margin
- 26.8%
- Net margin
- 14.0%
- Beta
- 1.07
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Vale Indonesia sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks INCO.JK has traded between IDR 3,210 and IDR 7,900. Today it is 55.7% below that high and 9% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 14.0%; it trades at 15.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.07: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
PT Vale Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining and processing of nickel in Indonesia. The company was formerly known as PT International Nickel Indonesia Tbk and changed its name to PT Vale Indonesia Tbk in September 2011.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Vale Indonesia (INCO.JK) fair value?
About IDR 5,144 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: IDR 3,898 to IDR 6,721). With the stock at IDR 3,500, it is 32% below it.
What is the chance INCO.JK goes up next month?
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, INCO.JK ends the month between IDR 3,174 and IDR 3,813.
How big is Vale Indonesia and what is its P/E ratio?
Vale Indonesia's market capitalization is IDR 42.9T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.0: you pay IDR 15.0 for each IDR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is INCO.JK?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 52%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between IDR 3,174 and IDR 3,813.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer