ATLASATLAS fair value
A$0.189
Above fair value · 9% premium
Range: A$0.104–A$0.338Fair valuePrice
Horizon Oil (HZN.AU)
Horizon Oil share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$0.205▼ -2.38%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Horizon Oil in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Horizon Oil
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Horizon Oil's fair value at about A$0.189 per share (reasonable range: A$0.104 to A$0.338). At A$0.205, the stock trades 9% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Horizon Oil a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$0.193 and A$0.218; in 9 out of 10, between A$0.173 and A$0.244. Estimated annual volatility is 35%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$351M
- Market cap (USD)
- $247M
- P/E ratio
- 20.0
- Dividend yield
- 8.50%
- 52-week high
- A$0.295
- 52-week low
- A$0.195
- Revenue (12 months)
- $84.2M
- Gross margin
- 18.3%
- Operating margin
- 3.0%
- Net margin
- 12.7%
- Beta
- -0.08
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Horizon Oil sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks HZN.AU has traded between A$0.195 and A$0.295. Today it is 30.5% below that high and 5% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 12.7%; it trades at 20.0 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.08: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Horizon Oil Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in China, New Zealand, Australia, Thailand, and Indonesia.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Horizon Oil (HZN.AU) fair value?
About A$0.189 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$0.104 to A$0.338). With the stock at A$0.205, it is 9% above it.
What is the chance HZN.AU goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, HZN.AU ends the month between A$0.193 and A$0.218.
How big is Horizon Oil and what is its P/E ratio?
Horizon Oil's market capitalization is A$351M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 20.0: you pay A$20.0 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Horizon Oil pay a dividend?
Yes. HZN.AU's current dividend yield is 8.50% at today's price (A$0.205).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer