ATLASATLAS fair value
A$0.091
Above fair value · 10% premium
Range: A$0.083–A$0.103Fair valuePrice
Carnarvon Energy (CVN.AU)
Carnarvon Energy share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$0.100▼ -4.76%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Carnarvon Energy in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Carnarvon Energy
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Carnarvon Energy's fair value at about A$0.091 per share (reasonable range: A$0.083 to A$0.103). At A$0.100, the stock trades 10% above it.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Carnarvon Energy a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$0.091 and A$0.109; in 9 out of 10, between A$0.078 and A$0.127. Estimated annual volatility is 51%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$176M
- Market cap (USD)
- $124M
- 52-week high
- A$0.140
- 52-week low
- A$0.083
- Revenue (12 months)
- A$4.5M
- Operating margin
- -39.2%
- Net margin
- -94.4%
- Beta
- 0.77
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Carnarvon Energy sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks CVN.AU has traded between A$0.083 and A$0.140. Today it is 28.6% below that high and 20% above its low.
Its beta is 0.77: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Carnarvon Energy Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in Australia. The company engages in carbon initiatives and new energy business. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is based in West Perth, Australia.
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Comparable companies
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Frequently asked questions
What is Carnarvon Energy (CVN.AU) fair value?
About A$0.091 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$0.083 to A$0.103). With the stock at A$0.100, it is 10% above it.
What is the chance CVN.AU goes up next month?
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, CVN.AU ends the month between A$0.091 and A$0.109.
How big is Carnarvon Energy and what is its P/E ratio?
Carnarvon Energy's market capitalization is A$176M. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is CVN.AU?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 51%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between A$0.091 and A$0.109.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer