ATLASATLAS fair value
IDR 678.81
Close to fair value · 1% discount
Range: IDR 482–IDR 777Fair valuePrice
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna (HMSP.JK)
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Tobacco · Indonesia Stock Exchange · Indonesia
IDR 675.00▲ +5.47%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · IDR
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna's fair value at about IDR 678.81 per share (reasonable range: IDR 482.00 to IDR 777.21). At IDR 675.00, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between IDR 633.87 and IDR 719.15; in 9 out of 10, between IDR 566.76 and IDR 804.29. Estimated annual volatility is 35%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- IDR 75.4T
- Market cap (USD)
- $4.2B
- P/E ratio
- 8.6
- Dividend yield
- 9.01%
- 52-week high
- IDR 1,000
- 52-week low
- IDR 570.00
- Revenue (12 months)
- IDR 49.2T
- Gross margin
- 43.9%
- Operating margin
- 22.1%
- Net margin
- 17.7%
- Beta
- 0.54
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks HMSP.JK has traded between IDR 570.00 and IDR 1,000. Today it is 32.5% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 17.7%; it trades at 8.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.54: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture, distribution, and trading of cigarettes and other tobacco products in Indonesia and Internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna (HMSP.JK) fair value?
About IDR 678.81 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: IDR 482.00 to IDR 777.21). With the stock at IDR 675.00, it is close to that value.
What is the chance HMSP.JK goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, HMSP.JK ends the month between IDR 633.87 and IDR 719.15.
How big is Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna and what is its P/E ratio?
Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna's market capitalization is IDR 75.4T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.6: you pay IDR 8.60 for each IDR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna pay a dividend?
Yes. HMSP.JK's current dividend yield is 9.01% at today's price (IDR 675.00).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer