ATLASATLAS fair value
IDR 21,799
Below fair value · 25% discount
Range: IDR 14,093–IDR 33,718Fair valuePrice
Gudang Garam (GGRM.JK)
Gudang Garam stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Tobacco · Indonesia Stock Exchange · Indonesia
IDR 16,450▼ -2.95%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · IDR
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Gudang Garam in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Gudang Garam
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Gudang Garam's fair value at about IDR 21,799 per share (reasonable range: IDR 14,093 to IDR 33,718). At IDR 16,450, the stock trades 25% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Gudang Garam a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between IDR 15,131 and IDR 17,769; in 9 out of 10, between IDR 13,122 and IDR 20,489. Estimated annual volatility is 48%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- IDR 33.8T
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.9B
- P/E ratio
- 7.2
- Dividend yield
- 5.12%
- 52-week high
- IDR 21,825
- 52-week low
- IDR 12,625
- Revenue (12 months)
- IDR 86.2T
- Gross margin
- 13.0%
- Operating margin
- 9.0%
- Net margin
- 5.1%
- Beta
- 0.76
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Gudang Garam sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks GGRM.JK has traded between IDR 12,625 and IDR 21,825. Today it is 24.6% below that high and 30% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 5.1%; it trades at 7.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.76: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
PT Gudang Garam Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Cigarettes, Paperboards, Infrastructure, and Others segments.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Gudang Garam (GGRM.JK) fair value?
About IDR 21,799 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: IDR 14,093 to IDR 33,718). With the stock at IDR 16,450, it is 25% below it.
What is the chance GGRM.JK goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, GGRM.JK ends the month between IDR 15,131 and IDR 17,769.
How big is Gudang Garam and what is its P/E ratio?
Gudang Garam's market capitalization is IDR 33.8T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.2: you pay IDR 7.17 for each IDR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Gudang Garam pay a dividend?
Yes. GGRM.JK's current dividend yield is 5.12% at today's price (IDR 16,450).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer