ATLAS fair value
ZAR 2,035
Above fair value · 125% premium
Capitec Bank share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 2,035
Above fair value · 125% premium
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Capitec Bank's fair value at about ZAR 2,035 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 1,831 to ZAR 2,238). At ZAR 4,571, the stock trades 125% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Capitec Bank a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 4,412 and ZAR 4,771; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 4,117 and ZAR 5,113. Estimated annual volatility is 22%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Capitec Bank sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks CPI.JSE has traded between ZAR 3,777 and ZAR 4,912. Today it is 6.9% below that high and 21% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 40.8%; it trades at 28.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.73: it tends to move less than the market.
Capitec Limited through its subsidiaries, provides various banking products and services in South Africa. The company operates through three segments: Personal banking, Business banking, and Insurance.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 2,035 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 1,831 to ZAR 2,238). With the stock at ZAR 4,571, it is 125% above it.
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, CPI.JSE ends the month between ZAR 4,412 and ZAR 4,771.
Capitec Bank's market capitalization is ZAR 518B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 28.8: you pay ZAR 28.8 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. CPI.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.02% at today's price (ZAR 4,571).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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