ATLAS fair value
A$11.49
Below fair value · 31% discount
Whitehaven Coal share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Thermal Coal · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$11.49
Below fair value · 31% discount
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Whitehaven Coal's fair value at about A$11.49 per share (reasonable range: A$7.76 to A$17.02). At A$7.98, the stock trades 31% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Whitehaven Coal a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$7.53 and A$8.47; in 9 out of 10, between A$6.78 and A$9.41. Estimated annual volatility is 34%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Whitehaven Coal sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks WHC.AU has traded between A$6.66 and A$9.90. Today it is 19.4% below that high and 20% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 7.1%; it trades at 16.0 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.18: it tends to move less than the market.
Whitehaven Coal Limited develops and operates coal mines in Queensland and New South Wales. The company produces metallurgical and thermal coal. It operates mines, including open-cut and underground, located in the Gunnedah Coal Basin in New South Wales.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$11.49 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$7.76 to A$17.02). With the stock at A$7.98, it is 31% below it.
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, WHC.AU ends the month between A$7.53 and A$8.47.
Whitehaven Coal's market capitalization is A$6.0B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.0: you pay A$16.0 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. WHC.AU's current dividend yield is 1.29% at today's price (A$7.98).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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