ATLASATLAS fair value
CHF 28.77
Above fair value · 35% premium
Range: CHF 26–CHF 32Fair valuePrice
UBS (UBSG.SW)
UBS stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · SIX Swiss Exchange · Switzerland
CHF 38.84▲ +0.67%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CHF
Chance of rising in 1 month
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on UBS in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On UBS
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates UBS's fair value at about CHF 28.77 per share (reasonable range: CHF 25.90 to CHF 31.65). At CHF 38.84, the stock trades 35% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives UBS a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CHF 37.42 and CHF 40.59; in 9 out of 10, between CHF 34.82 and CHF 43.63. Estimated annual volatility is 23%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CHF 121B
- Market cap (USD)
- $146B
- P/E ratio
- 16.8
- Dividend yield
- 2.81%
- 52-week high
- CHF 45.04
- 52-week low
- CHF 28.25
- Revenue (12 months)
- $53.0B
- Operating margin
- 31.0%
- Net margin
- 18.0%
- Beta
- 0.86
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. UBS sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks UBSG.SW has traded between CHF 28.25 and CHF 45.04. Today it is 13.8% below that high and 37% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 18.0%; it trades at 16.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.86: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
UBS Group AG operates as a wealth manager and bank worldwide. It operates through five segments: Global Wealth Management, Personal & Corporate Banking, Asset Management, Investment Bank, and Non-Core and Legacy.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is UBS (UBSG.SW) fair value?
About CHF 28.77 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CHF 25.90 to CHF 31.65). With the stock at CHF 38.84, it is 35% above it.
What is the chance UBSG.SW goes up next month?
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, UBSG.SW ends the month between CHF 37.42 and CHF 40.59.
How big is UBS and what is its P/E ratio?
UBS's market capitalization is CHF 121B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.8: you pay CHF 16.8 for each CHF 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does UBS pay a dividend?
Yes. UBSG.SW's current dividend yield is 2.81% at today's price (CHF 38.84).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer