ATLASATLAS fair value
CHF 34.40
Close to fair value · 8% discount
Range: CHF 23–CHF 53Fair valuePrice
Stadler Rail (SRAIL.SW)
Stadler Rail stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Railroads · SIX Swiss Exchange · Switzerland
CHF 31.74▲ +2.26%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · CHF
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Stadler Rail in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Stadler Rail
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Stadler Rail's fair value at about CHF 34.40 per share (reasonable range: CHF 22.53 to CHF 52.51). At CHF 31.74, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Stadler Rail a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CHF 29.27 and CHF 34.23; in 9 out of 10, between CHF 25.48 and CHF 39.32. Estimated annual volatility is 49%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CHF 3.1B
- Market cap (USD)
- $3.7B
- P/E ratio
- 29.8
- Dividend yield
- 1.61%
- 52-week high
- CHF 31.74
- 52-week low
- CHF 17.25
- Revenue (12 months)
- CHF 4.2B
- Gross margin
- 11.4%
- Operating margin
- 4.0%
- Net margin
- 2.5%
- Beta
- 0.62
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Stadler Rail sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks SRAIL.SW has traded between CHF 17.25 and CHF 31.74. Today it is at its high and 84% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 2.5%; it trades at 29.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.62: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Stadler Rail AG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of trains in Switzerland, Germany, Austria, Western and Eastern Europe, the Americas, the CIS countries, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Stadler Rail (SRAIL.SW) fair value?
About CHF 34.40 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CHF 22.53 to CHF 52.51). With the stock at CHF 31.74, it is close to that value.
What is the chance SRAIL.SW goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, SRAIL.SW ends the month between CHF 29.27 and CHF 34.23.
How big is Stadler Rail and what is its P/E ratio?
Stadler Rail's market capitalization is CHF 3.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 29.8: you pay CHF 29.8 for each CHF 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Stadler Rail pay a dividend?
Yes. SRAIL.SW's current dividend yield is 1.61% at today's price (CHF 31.74).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer