ATLAS fair value
A$1.03
Above fair value · 121% premium
Region share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · REIT - Retail · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$1.03
Above fair value · 121% premium
55%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Region's fair value at about A$1.03 per share (reasonable range: A$0.521 to A$2.00). At A$2.27, the stock trades 121% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Region a 55% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$2.22 and A$2.34; in 9 out of 10, between A$2.12 and A$2.46. Estimated annual volatility is 15%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Region sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks RGN.AU has traded between A$2.08 and A$2.49. Today it is 8.8% below that high and 9% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 68.7%; it trades at 9.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.61: it tends to move less than the market.
Region Group is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with 87 convenience-based retail properties, valued at 4,374 million dollar. We remain the largest owner of convenience-based retail centres with 7 percent share of the market, which is dominated by private owners.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$1.03 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$0.521 to A$2.00). With the stock at A$2.27, it is 121% above it.
55%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, RGN.AU ends the month between A$2.22 and A$2.34.
Region's market capitalization is A$2.5B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 9.5: you pay A$9.54 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. RGN.AU's current dividend yield is 6.44% at today's price (A$2.27).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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