ATLAS fair value
SEK 156.60
Below fair value · 11% discount
Paradox Interactive AB (publ) stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Communication Services · Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · SEK
SEK 156.60
Below fair value · 11% discount
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Paradox Interactive AB (publ)'s fair value at about SEK 156.60 per share (reasonable range: SEK 91.98 to SEK 266.63). At SEK 138.60, the stock trades 11% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Paradox Interactive AB (publ) a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between SEK 130.49 and SEK 147.39; in 9 out of 10, between SEK 117.14 and SEK 164.20. Estimated annual volatility is 36%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Paradox Interactive AB (publ) sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks PDX.ST has traded between SEK 113.90 and SEK 190.50. Today it is 27.2% below that high and 22% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 5.7%; it trades at 115.3 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.04: it tends to move less than the market.
Paradox Interactive AB (publ) develops and publishes strategy and management games on PC and consoles in the United States, Rest of Europe, Sweden, and internationally.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About SEK 156.60 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: SEK 91.98 to SEK 266.63). With the stock at SEK 138.60, it is 11% below it.
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, PDX.ST ends the month between SEK 130.49 and SEK 147.39.
Paradox Interactive AB (publ)'s market capitalization is SEK 13.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 115.3: you pay SEK 115.3 for each SEK 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. PDX.ST's current dividend yield is 3.63% at today's price (SEK 138.60).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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