ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 18.00
Close to fair value · 2% discount
Range: ZAR 11–ZAR 30Fair valuePrice
Octodec (OCT.JSE)
Octodec share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 17.68▲ +1.09%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Octodec in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Octodec
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Octodec's fair value at about ZAR 18.00 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 10.81 to ZAR 30.13). At ZAR 17.68, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Octodec a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 16.86 and ZAR 18.63; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 15.43 and ZAR 20.35. Estimated annual volatility is 30%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 4.7B
- Market cap (USD)
- $285M
- P/E ratio
- 8.6
- Dividend yield
- 0.08%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 19.00
- 52-week low
- ZAR 12.21
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 2.2B
- Gross margin
- 46.9%
- Operating margin
- 39.6%
- Net margin
- 24.0%
- Beta
- 0.25
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Octodec sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks OCT.JSE has traded between ZAR 12.21 and ZAR 19.00. Today it is 7.0% below that high and 45% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 24.0%; it trades at 8.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.25: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Octodec Investments Limited (Octodec or the company), its subsidiaries and associated company (the group) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) listed on the JSE Ltd (JSE) and A2X, with a diversified portfolio of 226 residential, retail, office and industrial properties situated in the major…
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Octodec (OCT.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 18.00 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 10.81 to ZAR 30.13). With the stock at ZAR 17.68, it is close to that value.
What is the chance OCT.JSE goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, OCT.JSE ends the month between ZAR 16.86 and ZAR 18.63.
How big is Octodec and what is its P/E ratio?
Octodec's market capitalization is ZAR 4.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.6: you pay ZAR 8.62 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Octodec pay a dividend?
Yes. OCT.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.08% at today's price (ZAR 17.68).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer