ATLASATLAS fair value
PLN 198.50
Below fair value · 51% discount
Range: PLN 137–PLN 288Fair valuePrice
Newag (NWG.WAR)
Newag stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Railroads · Warsaw Stock Exchange · Poland
PLN 97.90▲ +0.41%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · PLN
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Newag in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Newag
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Newag's fair value at about PLN 198.50 per share (reasonable range: PLN 136.77 to PLN 288.09). At PLN 97.90, the stock trades 51% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Newag a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between PLN 91.98 and PLN 104.27; in 9 out of 10, between PLN 82.29 and PLN 116.54. Estimated annual volatility is 36%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- PLN 4.6B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.2B
- P/E ratio
- 10.3
- Dividend yield
- 3.02%
- 52-week high
- PLN 130.60
- 52-week low
- PLN 84.90
- Revenue (12 months)
- PLN 2.7B
- Gross margin
- 28.2%
- Operating margin
- 23.1%
- Net margin
- 16.1%
- Beta
- 0.97
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Newag sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks NWG.WAR has traded between PLN 84.90 and PLN 130.60. Today it is 25.0% below that high and 15% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 16.1%; it trades at 10.3 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.97: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Newag S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells railway locomotives and rolling stock in Poland and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Newag (NWG.WAR) fair value?
About PLN 198.50 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: PLN 136.77 to PLN 288.09). With the stock at PLN 97.90, it is 51% below it.
What is the chance NWG.WAR goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, NWG.WAR ends the month between PLN 91.98 and PLN 104.27.
How big is Newag and what is its P/E ratio?
Newag's market capitalization is PLN 4.6B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.3: you pay PLN 10.3 for each PLN 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Newag pay a dividend?
Yes. NWG.WAR's current dividend yield is 3.02% at today's price (PLN 97.90).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer