ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$210.26
Close to fair value · 0% discount
Range: CA$189–CA$231Fair valuePrice
National Bank of Canada (NA.TO)
National Bank of Canada stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$209.95▲ +1.28%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on National Bank of Canada in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
See everything included
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
On National Bank of Canada
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates National Bank of Canada's fair value at about CA$210.26 per share (reasonable range: CA$189.24 to CA$231.29). At CA$209.95, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives National Bank of Canada a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$203.10 and CA$218.73; in 9 out of 10, between CA$190.19 and CA$233.58. Estimated annual volatility is 23%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$76.0B
- Market cap (USD)
- $54.1B
- P/E ratio
- 17.0
- Dividend yield
- 2.46%
- 52-week high
- CA$237.13
- 52-week low
- CA$154.06
- Revenue (12 months)
- CA$14.6B
- Operating margin
- 45.0%
- Net margin
- 33.3%
- Beta
- 1.17
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. National Bank of Canada sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks NA.TO has traded between CA$154.06 and CA$237.13. Today it is 11.5% below that high and 36% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 33.3%; it trades at 17.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.17: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
National Bank of Canada provides financial services to individuals, businesses, institutional clients, and governments in Canada and internationally. It operates through four segments: Personal and Commercial, Wealth Management, Financial Markets, and U.S. Specialty Finance and International.
Want to see everything about National Bank of Canada?
Get started →Plans from €3.99 a month.
Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is National Bank of Canada (NA.TO) fair value?
About CA$210.26 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$189.24 to CA$231.29). With the stock at CA$209.95, it is close to that value.
What is the chance NA.TO goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, NA.TO ends the month between CA$203.10 and CA$218.73.
How big is National Bank of Canada and what is its P/E ratio?
National Bank of Canada's market capitalization is CA$76.0B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 17.0: you pay CA$17.0 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does National Bank of Canada pay a dividend?
Yes. NA.TO's current dividend yield is 2.46% at today's price (CA$209.95).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer