Methanex (MX.TO)

Methanex stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Basic Materials · Chemicals · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada

CA$89.66▼ -0.50%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD

ATLAS fair value

CA$57.75

Above fair value · 55% premium

Chance of rising in 1 month

50%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

This is just the summary. See everything on Methanex in ATLAS

ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.

  • Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
  • Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
  • Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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  • Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Methanex

  • Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
  • Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
  • Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
  • Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
  • NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

  • ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
  • AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
  • Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
  • Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
  • Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Get started →

Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS estimates Methanex's fair value at about CA$57.75 per share (reasonable range: CA$22.60 to CA$146.09). At CA$89.66, the stock trades 55% above it.

It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.

ATLAS's model gives Methanex a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$84.24 and CA$95.49; in 9 out of 10, between CA$75.39 and CA$106.70. Estimated annual volatility is 34%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

Methanex (MX.TO) — Price, last 12 months (weekly close)Oct 24, 2025: CA$50.05. Oct 27, 2026: CA$89.66. ▲Fair value CA$57.75CA$91.92CA$49.44Oct 24, 2025Oct 27, 2026

Key numbers

Market cap
CA$6.9B
Market cap (USD)
$4.9B
P/E ratio
62.3
Dividend yield
0.81%
52-week high
CA$92.97
52-week low
CA$45.01
Revenue (12 months)
$4.3B
Gross margin
31.2%
Operating margin
37.1%
Net margin
2.1%
Beta
0.98

What this means

These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Methanex sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.

Over the last 52 weeks MX.TO has traded between CA$45.01 and CA$92.97. Today it is 3.6% below that high and 99% above its low.

On the business: net margin is 2.1%; it trades at 62.3 times earnings.

Its beta is 0.98: it moves roughly in line with the market.

About the company

Methanex Corporation engages in the production and sale of methanol and ammonia in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, and South America. It also owns and leases in-region storage and terminal facilities. The company serves chemical and petrochemical producers.

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Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What is Methanex (MX.TO) fair value?

About CA$57.75 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$22.60 to CA$146.09). With the stock at CA$89.66, it is 55% above it.

What is the chance MX.TO goes up next month?

50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MX.TO ends the month between CA$84.24 and CA$95.49.

How big is Methanex and what is its P/E ratio?

Methanex's market capitalization is CA$6.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 62.3: you pay CA$62.3 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.

Does Methanex pay a dividend?

Yes. MX.TO's current dividend yield is 0.81% at today's price (CA$89.66).

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer

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