ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 4.11
Below fair value · 67% discount
Range: ZAR 2.71–ZAR 6.22Fair valuePrice
Merafe (MRF.JSE)
Merafe share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 1.36▼ -0.73%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Merafe in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Merafe
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Merafe's fair value at about ZAR 4.11 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 2.71 to ZAR 6.22). At ZAR 1.36, the stock trades 67% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Merafe a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 1.29 and ZAR 1.44; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 1.16 and ZAR 1.59. Estimated annual volatility is 31%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 3.5B
- Market cap (USD)
- $208M
- P/E ratio
- 8.0
- Dividend yield
- 11.91%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 1.50
- 52-week low
- ZAR 0.940
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 6.7B
- Operating margin
- 20.2%
- Net margin
- 6.3%
- Beta
- 0.35
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Merafe sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MRF.JSE has traded between ZAR 0.940 and ZAR 1.50. Today it is 9.3% below that high and 45% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 6.3%; it trades at 8.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.35: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Merafe Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining and beneficiation of chrome ore into ferrochrome and associated minerals.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Merafe (MRF.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 4.11 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 2.71 to ZAR 6.22). With the stock at ZAR 1.36, it is 67% below it.
What is the chance MRF.JSE goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MRF.JSE ends the month between ZAR 1.29 and ZAR 1.44.
How big is Merafe and what is its P/E ratio?
Merafe's market capitalization is ZAR 3.5B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.0: you pay ZAR 8.00 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Merafe pay a dividend?
Yes. MRF.JSE's current dividend yield is 11.91% at today's price (ZAR 1.36).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer