ATLASATLAS fair value
A$0.111
Above fair value · 162% premium
Range: A$0.100–A$0.122Fair valuePrice
Mount Gibson Iron (MGX.AU)
Mount Gibson Iron share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Steel · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$0.290▼ -1.69%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Mount Gibson Iron in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Mount Gibson Iron
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Mount Gibson Iron's fair value at about A$0.111 per share (reasonable range: A$0.100 to A$0.122). At A$0.290, the stock trades 162% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Mount Gibson Iron a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$0.273 and A$0.309; in 9 out of 10, between A$0.244 and A$0.344. Estimated annual volatility is 33%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$372M
- Market cap (USD)
- $261M
- 52-week high
- A$0.495
- 52-week low
- A$0.290
- Revenue (12 months)
- A$204M
- Gross margin
- 2.4%
- Operating margin
- -16.7%
- Net margin
- -14.8%
- Beta
- 0.86
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Mount Gibson Iron sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MGX.AU has traded between A$0.290 and A$0.495. Today it is 41.4% below that high and 0% above its low.
Its beta is 0.86: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
MGX Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, processing, shipment, export, and sale of hematite iron ore in Australia and China. Its flagship project is the Koolan Island mine site located in the Kimberley region of Western Australia.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Mount Gibson Iron (MGX.AU) fair value?
About A$0.111 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$0.100 to A$0.122). With the stock at A$0.290, it is 162% above it.
What is the chance MGX.AU goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MGX.AU ends the month between A$0.273 and A$0.309.
How big is Mount Gibson Iron and what is its P/E ratio?
Mount Gibson Iron's market capitalization is A$372M. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is MGX.AU?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 33%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between A$0.273 and A$0.309.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer