ATLAS fair value
A$3.51
Below fair value · 48% discount
Mirvac share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$3.51
Below fair value · 48% discount
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Mirvac's fair value at about A$3.51 per share (reasonable range: A$2.98 to A$6.20). At A$1.83, the stock trades 48% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Mirvac a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$1.76 and A$1.92; in 9 out of 10, between A$1.63 and A$2.07. Estimated annual volatility is 26%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Mirvac sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MGR.AU has traded between A$1.61 and A$2.46. Today it is 25.6% below that high and 14% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 22.8%; it trades at 10.7 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.89: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Mirvac is an Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) listed company. We own and manage assets across office, retail, industrial and the living sectors in our investment portfolio, with approximately 24 billion dollars of assets under management.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$3.51 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$2.98 to A$6.20). With the stock at A$1.83, it is 48% below it.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MGR.AU ends the month between A$1.76 and A$1.92.
Mirvac's market capitalization is A$7.0B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.7: you pay A$10.7 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. MGR.AU's current dividend yield is 5.26% at today's price (A$1.83).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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