ATLASATLAS fair value
A$1.40
Below fair value · 29% discount
Range: A$0.952–A$2.05Fair valuePrice
Macmahon (MAH.AU)
Macmahon share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$0.990▲ +4.21%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Macmahon in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Macmahon
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Macmahon's fair value at about A$1.40 per share (reasonable range: A$0.952 to A$2.05). At A$0.990, the stock trades 29% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Macmahon a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$0.876 and A$1.09; in 9 out of 10, between A$0.720 and A$1.33. Estimated annual volatility is 68%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$2.2B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.5B
- P/E ratio
- 20.9
- Dividend yield
- 2.14%
- 52-week high
- A$1.17
- 52-week low
- A$0.460
- Revenue (12 months)
- A$2.6B
- Gross margin
- 69.6%
- Operating margin
- 6.9%
- Net margin
- 3.9%
- Beta
- 0.96
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Macmahon sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MAH.AU has traded between A$0.460 and A$1.17. Today it is 15.0% below that high and 115% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 3.9%; it trades at 20.9 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.96: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Macmahon Holdings Limited engages in the process of surface mining, underground mining and mining support, and civil infrastructure services to mining companies in Australia and Southeast Asia.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Macmahon (MAH.AU) fair value?
About A$1.40 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$0.952 to A$2.05). With the stock at A$0.990, it is 29% below it.
What is the chance MAH.AU goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MAH.AU ends the month between A$0.876 and A$1.09.
How big is Macmahon and what is its P/E ratio?
Macmahon's market capitalization is A$2.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 20.9: you pay A$20.9 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Macmahon pay a dividend?
Yes. MAH.AU's current dividend yield is 2.14% at today's price (A$0.990).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer