ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 34.69
Close to fair value · 3% discount
Range: ZAR 23–ZAR 52Fair valuePrice
Invicta (IVT.JSE)
Invicta share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Industrial Distribution · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 33.50▼ -2.05%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Invicta in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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See everything included
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
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On Invicta
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Invicta's fair value at about ZAR 34.69 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 22.73 to ZAR 51.92). At ZAR 33.50, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Invicta a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 31.06 and ZAR 36.00; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 27.25 and ZAR 41.03. Estimated annual volatility is 47%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 2.9B
- Market cap (USD)
- $177M
- P/E ratio
- 6.0
- Dividend yield
- 0.04%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 40.99
- 52-week low
- ZAR 33.00
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 8.4B
- Gross margin
- 33.1%
- Operating margin
- 9.4%
- Net margin
- 5.8%
- Beta
- 0.22
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Invicta sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks IVT.JSE has traded between ZAR 33.00 and ZAR 40.99. Today it is 18.3% below that high and 2% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 5.8%; it trades at 6.0 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.22: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Invicta Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the distribution of engineering components and consumables in South Africa, the Rest of Africa, Europe, and Asia.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Invicta (IVT.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 34.69 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 22.73 to ZAR 51.92). With the stock at ZAR 33.50, it is close to that value.
What is the chance IVT.JSE goes up next month?
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, IVT.JSE ends the month between ZAR 31.06 and ZAR 36.00.
How big is Invicta and what is its P/E ratio?
Invicta's market capitalization is ZAR 2.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 6.0: you pay ZAR 6.03 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Invicta pay a dividend?
Yes. IVT.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.04% at today's price (ZAR 33.50).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer