ATLAS fair value
A$14.28
Below fair value · 34% discount
Greatland Resources share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$14.28
Below fair value · 34% discount
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Greatland Resources's fair value at about A$14.28 per share (reasonable range: A$10.13 to A$20.15). At A$9.46, the stock trades 34% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Greatland Resources a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$8.58 and A$10.31; in 9 out of 10, between A$7.29 and A$12.13. Estimated annual volatility is 50%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Greatland Resources sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks GGP.AU has traded between A$6.73 and A$15.43. Today it is 38.7% below that high and 41% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 38.2%; it trades at 7.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.12: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Greatland Resources Limited operates as a gold and copper mining company. The company's flagship project is Havieron Project, a gold-copper deposit located in Western Australia. Greatland Resources Limited was incorporated in 2023 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$14.28 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$10.13 to A$20.15). With the stock at A$9.46, it is 34% below it.
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, GGP.AU ends the month between A$8.58 and A$10.31.
Greatland Resources's market capitalization is A$6.3B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.5: you pay A$7.49 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 50%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between A$8.58 and A$10.31.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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