ATLASATLAS fair value
MX$109.41
Above fair value · 56% premium
Range: MX$89–MX$134Fair valuePrice
Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V (GCARSOA1.MX)
Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Conglomerates · Bolsa Mexicana de Valores · Mexico
MX$170.86▲ +2.94%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · MXN
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V's fair value at about MX$109.41 per share (reasonable range: MX$89.19 to MX$134.21). At MX$170.86, the stock trades 56% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between MX$159.19 and MX$183.02; in 9 out of 10, between MX$140.68 and MX$207.10. Estimated annual volatility is 41%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- MX$330B
- Market cap (USD)
- $17.8B
- P/E ratio
- 34.6
- 52-week high
- MX$174.25
- 52-week low
- MX$113.10
- Revenue (12 months)
- MX$193B
- Gross margin
- 22.8%
- Operating margin
- 10.6%
- Net margin
- 4.7%
- Beta
- 0.51
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks GCARSOA1.MX has traded between MX$113.10 and MX$174.25. Today it is 2.0% below that high and 51% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 4.7%; it trades at 34.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.51: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Grupo Carso, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the commercial, industrial, infrastructure and construction, and energy businesses in Mexico, North America, Central America, South America, the Caribbean, Europe, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
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Frequently asked questions
What is Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V (GCARSOA1.MX) fair value?
About MX$109.41 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: MX$89.19 to MX$134.21). With the stock at MX$170.86, it is 56% above it.
What is the chance GCARSOA1.MX goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, GCARSOA1.MX ends the month between MX$159.19 and MX$183.02.
How big is Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V and what is its P/E ratio?
Grupo Carso S.A.B. de C.V's market capitalization is MX$330B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 34.6: you pay MX$34.6 for each MX$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is GCARSOA1.MX?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 41%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between MX$159.19 and MX$183.02.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer