ATLAS fair value
CLP 7,371
Below fair value · 12% discount
Falabella stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · Bolsa de Santiago · Chile
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · CLP
CLP 7,371
Below fair value · 12% discount
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Falabella's fair value at about CLP 7,371 per share (reasonable range: CLP 5,306 to CLP 7,705). At CLP 6,500, the stock trades 12% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Falabella a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CLP 6,257 and CLP 6,799; in 9 out of 10, between CLP 5,813 and CLP 7,318. Estimated annual volatility is 23%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Falabella sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks FALABELLA.SN has traded between CLP 5,238 and CLP 6,949. Today it is 6.5% below that high and 24% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 9.6%; it trades at 12.9 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.50: it tends to move less than the market.
Falabella S.A. engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, household, electronics, beauty, and other products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, Mexico, and Brazil. It operates through Home Improvement, Real Estate, Supermarkets, and Other Businesses segments.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About CLP 7,371 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CLP 5,306 to CLP 7,705). With the stock at CLP 6,500, it is 12% below it.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, FALABELLA.SN ends the month between CLP 6,257 and CLP 6,799.
Falabella's market capitalization is CLP 16.8T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.9: you pay CLP 12.9 for each CLP 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 23%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CLP 6,257 and CLP 6,799.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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