ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 362.88
Below fair value · 47% discount
Range: ZAR 287–ZAR 459Fair valuePrice
Exxaro Resources (EXX.JSE)
Exxaro Resources share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Thermal Coal · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 190.96▲ +1.94%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Exxaro Resources in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Exxaro Resources
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Exxaro Resources's fair value at about ZAR 362.88 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 286.84 to ZAR 459.09). At ZAR 190.96, the stock trades 47% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Exxaro Resources a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 182.25 and ZAR 201.07; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 167.04 and ZAR 219.38. Estimated annual volatility is 29%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 42.6B
- Market cap (USD)
- $2.6B
- P/E ratio
- 6.3
- Dividend yield
- 0.10%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 230.53
- 52-week low
- ZAR 164.22
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 43.3B
- Gross margin
- 58.5%
- Operating margin
- 18.2%
- Net margin
- 15.4%
- Beta
- 0.07
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Exxaro Resources sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks EXX.JSE has traded between ZAR 164.22 and ZAR 230.53. Today it is 17.2% below that high and 16% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 15.4%; it trades at 6.3 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.07: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Exxaro Resources Limited engages in coal, pigment manufacturing, and renewable energy businesses in South Africa, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Exxaro Resources (EXX.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 362.88 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 286.84 to ZAR 459.09). With the stock at ZAR 190.96, it is 47% below it.
What is the chance EXX.JSE goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, EXX.JSE ends the month between ZAR 182.25 and ZAR 201.07.
How big is Exxaro Resources and what is its P/E ratio?
Exxaro Resources's market capitalization is ZAR 42.6B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 6.3: you pay ZAR 6.27 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Exxaro Resources pay a dividend?
Yes. EXX.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.10% at today's price (ZAR 190.96).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer