ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$52.36
Below fair value · 13% discount
Range: CA$38–CA$72Fair valuePrice
Ero Copper (ERO.TO)
Ero Copper stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Copper · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$45.64▲ +4.39%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Ero Copper in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Ero Copper
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Ero Copper's fair value at about CA$52.36 per share (reasonable range: CA$38.37 to CA$72.27). At CA$45.64, the stock trades 13% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Ero Copper a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$40.46 and CA$50.36; in 9 out of 10, between CA$33.33 and CA$61.14. Estimated annual volatility is 66%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$5.1B
- Market cap (USD)
- $3.6B
- P/E ratio
- 11.3
- 52-week high
- CA$56.62
- 52-week low
- CA$27.22
- Revenue (12 months)
- $1.0B
- Gross margin
- 43.0%
- Operating margin
- 37.6%
- Net margin
- 29.8%
- Beta
- 1.63
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Ero Copper sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ERO.TO has traded between CA$27.22 and CA$56.62. Today it is 19.4% below that high and 68% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 29.8%; it trades at 11.3 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.63: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Ero Copper Corp. engages in the exploration, development, and production of mining projects in Brazil.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Ero Copper (ERO.TO) fair value?
About CA$52.36 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$38.37 to CA$72.27). With the stock at CA$45.64, it is 13% below it.
What is the chance ERO.TO goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ERO.TO ends the month between CA$40.46 and CA$50.36.
How big is Ero Copper and what is its P/E ratio?
Ero Copper's market capitalization is CA$5.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 11.3: you pay CA$11.3 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is ERO.TO?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 66%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CA$40.46 and CA$50.36.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer