ATLASATLAS fair value
A$7.12
Below fair value · 47% discount
Range: A$6.40–A$7.83Fair valuePrice
Elevra Lithium (ELV.AU)
Elevra Lithium share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$3.76▲ +6.21%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Elevra Lithium in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Elevra Lithium
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Elevra Lithium's fair value at about A$7.12 per share (reasonable range: A$6.40 to A$7.83). At A$3.76, the stock trades 47% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Elevra Lithium a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$3.30 and A$4.17; in 9 out of 10, between A$2.69 and A$5.12. Estimated annual volatility is 62%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$741M
- Market cap (USD)
- $521M
- P/E ratio
- 9.4
- 52-week high
- A$14.06
- 52-week low
- A$3.35
- Revenue (12 months)
- $202M
- Operating margin
- 44.5%
- Net margin
- 21.3%
- Beta
- 1.01
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Elevra Lithium sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ELV.AU has traded between A$3.35 and A$14.06. Today it is 73.3% below that high and 12% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 21.3%; it trades at 9.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.01: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Elevra Lithium Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the identification, acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral assets in Australia and Canada. The company explores for lithium, graphite, and gold deposits.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Elevra Lithium (ELV.AU) fair value?
About A$7.12 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$6.40 to A$7.83). With the stock at A$3.76, it is 47% below it.
What is the chance ELV.AU goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ELV.AU ends the month between A$3.30 and A$4.17.
How big is Elevra Lithium and what is its P/E ratio?
Elevra Lithium's market capitalization is A$741M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 9.4: you pay A$9.38 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is ELV.AU?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 62%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between A$3.30 and A$4.17.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer