ATLASATLAS fair value
DKK 141.15
Above fair value · 82% premium
Range: DKK 116–DKK 177Fair valuePrice
Bavarian Nordic (BAVA.CO)
Bavarian Nordic stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Healthcare · Biotechnology · Nasdaq Copenhagen · Denmark
DKK 256.20▲ +1.99%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · DKK
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Bavarian Nordic in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Bavarian Nordic
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Bavarian Nordic's fair value at about DKK 141.15 per share (reasonable range: DKK 115.81 to DKK 176.81). At DKK 256.20, the stock trades 82% above it.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Bavarian Nordic a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between DKK 242.34 and DKK 271.55; in 9 out of 10, between DKK 219.09 and DKK 300.37. Estimated annual volatility is 29%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- DKK 17.8B
- Market cap (USD)
- $2.6B
- P/E ratio
- 12.5
- 52-week high
- DKK 257.00
- 52-week low
- DKK 171.30
- Revenue (12 months)
- DKK 6.3B
- Gross margin
- 50.2%
- Operating margin
- 36.8%
- Net margin
- 24.3%
- Beta
- 0.98
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Bavarian Nordic sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks BAVA.CO has traded between DKK 171.30 and DKK 257.00. Today it is at its high and 50% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 24.3%; it trades at 12.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.98: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Bavarian Nordic A/S develops, manufactures, and supplies life-saving vaccines.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Bavarian Nordic (BAVA.CO) fair value?
About DKK 141.15 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: DKK 115.81 to DKK 176.81). With the stock at DKK 256.20, it is 82% above it.
What is the chance BAVA.CO goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, BAVA.CO ends the month between DKK 242.34 and DKK 271.55.
How big is Bavarian Nordic and what is its P/E ratio?
Bavarian Nordic's market capitalization is DKK 17.8B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.5: you pay DKK 12.5 for each DKK 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is BAVA.CO?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 29%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between DKK 242.34 and DKK 271.55.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer