ATLASATLAS fair value
SEK 510.85
Below fair value · 45% discount
Range: SEK 308–SEK 847Fair valuePrice
Axfood (AXFO.ST)
Axfood stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
SEK 278.70▲ +0.11%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · SEK
Chance of rising in 1 month
54%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Axfood in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Axfood
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Axfood's fair value at about SEK 510.85 per share (reasonable range: SEK 308.01 to SEK 847.27). At SEK 278.70, the stock trades 45% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Axfood a 54% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between SEK 270.69 and SEK 289.40; in 9 out of 10, between SEK 255.12 and SEK 307.06. Estimated annual volatility is 18%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- SEK 56.7B
- Market cap (USD)
- $5.7B
- P/E ratio
- 24.4
- 52-week high
- SEK 339.00
- 52-week low
- SEK 226.10
- Revenue (12 months)
- SEK 89.9B
- Gross margin
- 14.8%
- Operating margin
- 4.2%
- Net margin
- 2.7%
- Beta
- 0.56
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Axfood sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks AXFO.ST has traded between SEK 226.10 and SEK 339.00. Today it is 17.8% below that high and 23% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 2.7%; it trades at 24.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.56: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Axfood AB (publ) engages in the food retail and wholesale businesses primarily in Sweden. The company operates through five segments: Willys, Hemköp, City Gross, Snabbgross, and Dagab. The company sells groceries through Willys, HANDLAR'N, Hemköp, and Eurocash, City Gross, and Tempo store chains.
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Comparable companies
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Frequently asked questions
What is Axfood (AXFO.ST) fair value?
About SEK 510.85 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: SEK 308.01 to SEK 847.27). With the stock at SEK 278.70, it is 45% below it.
What is the chance AXFO.ST goes up next month?
54%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, AXFO.ST ends the month between SEK 270.69 and SEK 289.40.
How big is Axfood and what is its P/E ratio?
Axfood's market capitalization is SEK 56.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 24.4: you pay SEK 24.4 for each SEK 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is AXFO.ST?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 18%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between SEK 270.69 and SEK 289.40.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer