ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$43.48
Below fair value · 17% discount
Range: CA$23–CA$95Fair valuePrice
A&W Food Services of Canada (AW.TO)
A&W Food Services of Canada stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$35.91▼ -0.08%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
54%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on A&W Food Services of Canada in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On A&W Food Services of Canada
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates A&W Food Services of Canada's fair value at about CA$43.48 per share (reasonable range: CA$22.89 to CA$94.68). At CA$35.91, the stock trades 17% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives A&W Food Services of Canada a 54% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$35.05 and CA$37.14; in 9 out of 10, between CA$33.30 and CA$39.09. Estimated annual volatility is 15%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$858M
- Market cap (USD)
- $611M
- P/E ratio
- 15.2
- Dividend yield
- 5.42%
- 52-week high
- CA$38.67
- 52-week low
- CA$34.77
- Revenue (12 months)
- CA$302M
- Gross margin
- 47.2%
- Operating margin
- 34.6%
- Net margin
- 18.8%
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. A&W Food Services of Canada sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks AW.TO has traded between CA$34.77 and CA$38.67. Today it is 7.1% below that high and 3% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 18.8%; it trades at 15.2 times earnings.
About the company
A & W Food Services of Canada Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and franchise of quick service restaurants in Canada. The company operates quick service restaurants that serve burgers and sandwiches under the A&W and Pret A Manger brands.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is A&W Food Services of Canada (AW.TO) fair value?
About CA$43.48 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$22.89 to CA$94.68). With the stock at CA$35.91, it is 17% below it.
What is the chance AW.TO goes up next month?
54%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, AW.TO ends the month between CA$35.05 and CA$37.14.
How big is A&W Food Services of Canada and what is its P/E ratio?
A&W Food Services of Canada's market capitalization is CA$858M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.2: you pay CA$15.2 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does A&W Food Services of Canada pay a dividend?
Yes. AW.TO's current dividend yield is 5.42% at today's price (CA$35.91).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer