ATLASATLAS fair value
CHF 91.02
Below fair value · 56% discount
Range: CHF 79–CHF 104Fair valuePrice
Aryzta (ARYN.SW)
Aryzta stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · SIX Swiss Exchange · Switzerland
CHF 40.35▼ -3.12%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CHF
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Aryzta in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Aryzta
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Aryzta's fair value at about CHF 91.02 per share (reasonable range: CHF 78.85 to CHF 104.02). At CHF 40.35, the stock trades 56% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Aryzta a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CHF 37.74 and CHF 43.11; in 9 out of 10, between CHF 33.55 and CHF 48.50. Estimated annual volatility is 41%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CHF 941M
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.1B
- P/E ratio
- 10.4
- 52-week high
- CHF 64.70
- 52-week low
- CHF 35.90
- Revenue (12 months)
- €2.2B
- Gross margin
- 20.1%
- Operating margin
- 6.8%
- Net margin
- 5.0%
- Beta
- 0.38
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Aryzta sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ARYN.SW has traded between CHF 35.90 and CHF 64.70. Today it is 37.6% below that high and 12% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 5.0%; it trades at 10.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.38: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
ARYZTA AG provides products and services for in-store bakery solutions in Europe and internationally. It offers pastries, cookies, buns, breads, rolls, artisan loaves, sweet baked goods, morning goods, and savoury and other products.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Aryzta (ARYN.SW) fair value?
About CHF 91.02 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CHF 78.85 to CHF 104.02). With the stock at CHF 40.35, it is 56% below it.
What is the chance ARYN.SW goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ARYN.SW ends the month between CHF 37.74 and CHF 43.11.
How big is Aryzta and what is its P/E ratio?
Aryzta's market capitalization is CHF 941M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.4: you pay CHF 10.4 for each CHF 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is ARYN.SW?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 41%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CHF 37.74 and CHF 43.11.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer