ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$29.33
Below fair value · 22% discount
Range: CA$24–CA$35Fair valuePrice
Aris Mining (ARIS.TO)
Aris Mining stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$22.79▲ +4.45%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Aris Mining in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On Aris Mining
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Aris Mining's fair value at about CA$29.33 per share (reasonable range: CA$24.45 to CA$34.85). At CA$22.79, the stock trades 22% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Aris Mining a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$20.35 and CA$25.05; in 9 out of 10, between CA$16.92 and CA$30.12. Estimated annual volatility is 62%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$4.7B
- Market cap (USD)
- $3.4B
- P/E ratio
- 12.2
- 52-week high
- CA$31.47
- 52-week low
- CA$12.25
- Revenue (12 months)
- $1.3B
- Gross margin
- 59.5%
- Operating margin
- 47.8%
- Net margin
- 22.4%
- Beta
- 2.08
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Aris Mining sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ARIS.TO has traded between CA$12.25 and CA$31.47. Today it is 27.6% below that high and 86% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 22.4%; it trades at 12.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 2.08: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. It also explores for silver and copper deposits.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Aris Mining (ARIS.TO) fair value?
About CA$29.33 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$24.45 to CA$34.85). With the stock at CA$22.79, it is 22% below it.
What is the chance ARIS.TO goes up next month?
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ARIS.TO ends the month between CA$20.35 and CA$25.05.
How big is Aris Mining and what is its P/E ratio?
Aris Mining's market capitalization is CA$4.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.2: you pay CA$12.2 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is ARIS.TO?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 62%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CA$20.35 and CA$25.05.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer