ATLASATLAS fair value
A$3.57
Below fair value · 26% discount
Range: A$3.21–A$3.93Fair valuePrice
Arena REIT (ARF.AU)
Arena REIT share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · REIT - Specialty · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$2.63▼ -0.75%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Arena REIT in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Arena REIT
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Arena REIT's fair value at about A$3.57 per share (reasonable range: A$3.21 to A$3.93). At A$2.63, the stock trades 26% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Arena REIT a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$2.35 and A$2.89; in 9 out of 10, between A$1.95 and A$3.48. Estimated annual volatility is 68%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$990M
- Market cap (USD)
- $696M
- P/E ratio
- 7.8
- Dividend yield
- 7.51%
- 52-week high
- A$3.90
- 52-week low
- A$1.99
- Revenue (12 months)
- A$117M
- Gross margin
- 90.8%
- Operating margin
- 89.2%
- Net margin
- 112.4%
- Beta
- 0.72
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Arena REIT sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ARF.AU has traded between A$1.99 and A$3.90. Today it is 32.6% below that high and 32% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 112.4%; it trades at 7.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.72: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Arena REIT is an ASX200 listed property group that develops, owns and manages social infrastructure properties across Australia. Our current portfolio of social infrastructure properties is leased to a diversified tenant base in the growing childcare and healthcare sectors.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Arena REIT (ARF.AU) fair value?
About A$3.57 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$3.21 to A$3.93). With the stock at A$2.63, it is 26% below it.
What is the chance ARF.AU goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ARF.AU ends the month between A$2.35 and A$2.89.
How big is Arena REIT and what is its P/E ratio?
Arena REIT's market capitalization is A$990M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.8: you pay A$7.82 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Arena REIT pay a dividend?
Yes. ARF.AU's current dividend yield is 7.51% at today's price (A$2.63).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer