ATLAS fair value
A$53.04
Above fair value · 20% premium
Aristocrat Leisure share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$53.04
Above fair value · 20% premium
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Aristocrat Leisure's fair value at about A$53.04 per share (reasonable range: A$43.31 to A$77.67). At A$63.72, the stock trades 20% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Aristocrat Leisure a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$61.77 and A$66.27; in 9 out of 10, between A$58.03 and A$70.54. Estimated annual volatility is 18%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Aristocrat Leisure sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ALL.AU has traded between A$44.18 and A$67.43. Today it is 5.5% below that high and 44% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 23.5%; it trades at 26.9 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.37: it tends to move less than the market.
Aristocrat Leisure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a gaming content and technology company in Australia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Aristocrat Gaming, Product Madness, and Aristocrat Interactive.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$53.04 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$43.31 to A$77.67). With the stock at A$63.72, it is 20% above it.
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ALL.AU ends the month between A$61.77 and A$66.27.
Aristocrat Leisure's market capitalization is A$36.5B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 26.9: you pay A$26.9 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. ALL.AU's current dividend yield is 1.56% at today's price (A$63.72).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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