ATLASATLAS fair value
CHF 62.08
Close to fair value · 7% discount
Range: CHF 39–CHF 99Fair valuePrice
Alcon (ALC.SW)
Alcon stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Healthcare · Medical Instruments & Supplies · SIX Swiss Exchange · Switzerland
CHF 57.58▼ -0.66%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CHF
Chance of rising in 1 month
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Alcon in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Alcon
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Alcon's fair value at about CHF 62.08 per share (reasonable range: CHF 39.02 to CHF 98.78). At CHF 57.58, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Alcon a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CHF 55.34 and CHF 60.30; in 9 out of 10, between CHF 51.27 and CHF 65.08. Estimated annual volatility is 25%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CHF 26.0B
- Market cap (USD)
- $31.4B
- P/E ratio
- 52.1
- Dividend yield
- 0.65%
- 52-week high
- CHF 68.34
- 52-week low
- CHF 47.80
- Revenue (12 months)
- $10.9B
- Gross margin
- 57.2%
- Operating margin
- 14.6%
- Net margin
- 5.9%
- Beta
- 0.73
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Alcon sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ALC.SW has traded between CHF 47.80 and CHF 68.34. Today it is 15.7% below that high and 20% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 5.9%; it trades at 52.1 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.73: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Alcon Inc. researches, develops, manufactures, distributes, and sells eye care products worldwide. The company operates through two segments, Surgical and Vision Care.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Alcon (ALC.SW) fair value?
About CHF 62.08 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CHF 39.02 to CHF 98.78). With the stock at CHF 57.58, it is close to that value.
What is the chance ALC.SW goes up next month?
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ALC.SW ends the month between CHF 55.34 and CHF 60.30.
How big is Alcon and what is its P/E ratio?
Alcon's market capitalization is CHF 26.0B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 52.1: you pay CHF 52.1 for each CHF 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Alcon pay a dividend?
Yes. ALC.SW's current dividend yield is 0.65% at today's price (CHF 57.58).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer