ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$16.22
Above fair value · 34% premium
Range: HK$9.33–HK$28Fair valuePrice
GDS (9698.HK)
GDS share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Technology · Information Technology Services · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$21.80▼ -0.64%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on GDS in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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See everything included
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On GDS
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates GDS's fair value at about HK$16.22 per share (reasonable range: HK$9.33 to HK$27.92). At HK$21.80, the stock trades 34% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives GDS a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$19.10 and HK$24.20; in 9 out of 10, between HK$15.49 and HK$29.85. Estimated annual volatility is 66%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HK$36.6B
- Market cap (USD)
- $4.7B
- P/E ratio
- 10.9
- 52-week high
- HK$46.94
- 52-week low
- HK$20.88
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥12.3B
- Gross margin
- 24.9%
- Operating margin
- 14.2%
- Net margin
- 30.5%
- Beta
- 0.42
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. GDS sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 9698.HK has traded between HK$20.88 and HK$46.94. Today it is 53.6% below that high and 4% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 30.5%; it trades at 10.9 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.42: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
GDS Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and operation of data centers in the People's Republic of China.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is GDS (9698.HK) fair value?
About HK$16.22 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$9.33 to HK$27.92). With the stock at HK$21.80, it is 34% above it.
What is the chance 9698.HK goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 9698.HK ends the month between HK$19.10 and HK$24.20.
How big is GDS and what is its P/E ratio?
GDS's market capitalization is HK$36.6B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 10.9: you pay HK$10.9 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is 9698.HK?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 66%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$19.10 and HK$24.20.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer